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ACTIVE VERSUS PASSIVE
INVESTMENT
There are those who believe that
in the long term you cannot beat the market (meaning the weighted average
market performance). This theory is based on the proposition that the
market always reflects the sum of knowledge at any point of time and
therefore prices are always correct and will only change through some
new event which is unpredictable.
Although many funds have consistently
beaten the market, this does not necessarily disprove the theory (in
the very long run). If you are inclined to believe this theory, then
it may be sensible to invest in a fund which effectively replicates
the particular market into which you wish to invest (a form of passive
investment)- commonly called Index Funds.
On the other hand, it is perhaps
reasonable to believe that some fund managers are better than others
and hence better than the average (the market) most of the time. There
are many instances of individual fund managers who have consistently
outperformed both their peers and the market. Whether or not they can
continue to defy gravity is an interesting question. Identifying these
people is not always easy - you need to follow the game closely by reading
fund literature, trade magazines and the financial press.
These high performers are in great
demand and likely to be head- hunted by rival fund management companies.
Once invested into a good performing fund with an identified individual
fund manager, keep watch in case he moves on! If you are inclined to
believe that there are those who have a greater insight into investment
matters than others then the above strategy could be followed (active
investment).
Caution is recommended however
- the markets are littered with ruined reputations!